Further Advice On Fast Strategies In Cbs News

But they hope their negotiator, Michel Barnier, can secure her agreement next month to what will be new EU proposals. These will be fundamentally unchanged but may be politically more palatable, notably on Northern Ireland. “Ritual dance is always a part of such negotiations,” a senior adviser to one of May’s summit peers told Reuters. “It may be that they will just accept what we have proposed after the Tory conference.” Whether it can be done by mid-November, many doubt. Brussels is familiar with the theatre of diplomacy, where being seen to hold out to the bitter end can help sell the unpopular back home and some diplomats believe a deal could take until Christmas. Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker attend the European Union leaders informal summit in Salzburg, Austria, September 20, 2018. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger Any later, and there would be a risk of failing to get it ratified by both parliaments before Brexit Day on March 29. “It was clear today that we need substantial progress by October and that we then aim to finalise everything in November,” Merkel said. “But there is still a lot of work to do on the question of how future trade relations will look.” “You can’t belong to the single market if you are not part of the single market, but you can develop a lot of creativity to find practical, good, close solutions.” French President Emmanuel Macron rammed home the message: “It was a good and brave step by the prime minister,” he said of her trade plan. “But we all agreed on this today, the proposals in their current state are not acceptable. “The Chequers plan cannot be ‘take it or leave it’.” The EU also insists on a “backstop” clause in any withdrawal treaty.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu/eu-pushes-october-brexit-agreement-threatens-no-deal-idUSKCN1M000N?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Reuters%2FworldNews+%28Reuters+World+News%29

Today’s Challenges For Rational Programs In

Why Polling Can Be So Hard

In places where you have a lot of the first three kinds of voters, things can get tough, quickly, for pollsters. Florida’s 26th District was a fight for every respondent. (We made about 46,000 calls to yield about 500 responses.) The district is mainly in Miami-Dade County, and more than 60 percent of voters are Hispanic. A quick, easy poll would have had far too many non-Hispanic respondents. Indeed, they outnumbered Hispanic respondents early in our survey. But we employ bilingual interviewers, and we call back voters multiple times. After days of callbacks in Miami-Dade County, the Republican incumbent, Carlos Curbelo, took a lead . We’re probably going to move toward a more rigorous way of dealing with this: stratification, in which we essentially break up the sample into mutually exclusive groups and treat each like a separate sample. That will help us make sure we don’t overlook a group that’s less likely to respond to a survey. Another challenge is telephone number coverage: which people on the voter file actually have phone numbers. This is one of the big downsides of polling off a voter file (versus using random-digit dialing ), and the severity of the disadvantage varies a lot from state to state.

For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/20/upshot/polling-2018-midterms-elections-challenge.html

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